Redes de inteligência e cenários prospectivos no mundo em fluxo: aportes ao SISBIN

Antônio Jorge Ramalho

doi:10.58960/rbi.2026.21.292

Authors

Antônio Jorge Ramalho University of Brasília

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58960/rbi.2026.21.292

Keywords:

Intelligence, Prospective methods, Brazilian Intelligence System (Sisbin)

Abstract

This article examines the impacts of observable trends in the contemporary international order on the Brazilian intelligence system. Given the complex developments that jeopardize national security and the human security of Brazilian citizens, its objective is to identify paths and suggest initiatives that can improve the methods currently employed in the production of state intelligence in Brazil. The article emphasizes the need to build a network of institutions that combine efforts to identify and assess trends. The use of prospective scenarios is suggested as a tool, given that this option has the advantage of fostering dialogue between actors within SISBIN and other civil society organizations, fostering a dynamic that contributes to strengthening dialogue and democratic institutions.

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Author Biography

Antônio Jorge Ramalho, University of Brasília

Bacharel em Relações Internacionais pela Universidade de Brasília (1989), mestre em em Ciência Política pelo IUPERJ (1992) e em Relações Internacionais pela Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs - Syracuse University (1999) e doutor em Sociologia pela Universidade de São Paulo (2002). É professor do Instituto de Relações Internacionais da Universidade de Brasília desde 1993. Dirigiu o Departamento de Cooperação do Ministério da Defesa e foi responsável pelo desenho e implementação do Programa Pró-Defesa. Implantou o Centro de Estudos Brasileiros em Porto Príncipe, Haiti, do qual foi o primeiro diretor. Integrou a Assessoria de Defesa da Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República, onde desenvolveu o programa Pró-Estratégia e colaborou com a implementação da Estratégia Nacional de Defesa. Representou a área de Relações Internacionais junto ao Comitê de Área da CAPES. Chefiou o Gabinete da Presidência do Fundo Nacional de Desenvolvimento da Educação. Assessorou o ministro da Defesa na implantação do Instituto Pandiá Calógeras, do qual foi o primeiro diretor. Eleito por dois mandatos consecutivos de dois anos, implantou e dirigiu a Escola de Defesa da UNASUL, baseada em Quito. Atualmente, é Diretor do Instituto de Relações Internacionais da UnB, integra o GEPSI/IREL-UnB e é colaborador eventual ao Mestrado em Segurança Internacional e Defesa da Escola Superior de Defesa do Brasil. Sua pesquisa e produção científica concentram-se nas áreas de Teoria das Relações Internacionais, Segurança Internacional e Defesa Nacional.

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